Sunday, August 5, 2012

Did Moore have a Floorball law, too?


Moore’s Law say something on prediction, in style with that the processor power in the best computer chip will double every 18th months or something like that. Today perhaps that is even better, in particular as more kernels are engaged on each chip. This is what some folks call an exponential. Or more basic, you use the development you know about and use that to project the future....

An article in Wired by Thomas Goetz define seven (7) rules on how to spot the future as to figure out tomorrow  - we try to match these rules in terms of Floorball. Our first post on how to relate these laws to Floorball is to be found here
http://www.floorballcentral.org/2012/08/wed-bet-on-fact-that-mr-goetz-never.html

Mr. Goetz second rule may be quoted like this “Surf the exponentials. Some trends are so constant, they verge on cliché. Just mentioning Moore’s law can cause eyes to roll, but that over-familiarity doesn’t make Gordon Moore’s 1965 insight—that chips will steadily, exponentially get smaller, cheaper, faster—any less remarkable.” Mr. Goetz continue; “Exponentials, it turns out, are everywhere. Just choose one, look where it leads, and take a ride.”

Are these the exponentials that makes sense as we try to find the future for floorball?


Or this one?

The first one show a very large emerging market (Germany). The second show the most mature test-market in the world - Sweden. As you see Germany is skyrocketing and in Sweden, the first test market stabilized in less than 30 years after sick growth as the second largest sport in Sweden. And yes the last reported numbers from 2008 to 2012 has picked up again (not present in the graph - we wish they were). 120.000 is roughly twice the numbers of hockey players they have - and they ain't’ bad...

Floorballcentral say, this is the exponentials you must look for and yes Floorball do meet the criteria for rule 2 as it comes to spot the future by Mr. T Goetz.
Floorball score another 100%  full points in that race for the future.

We are not sure if we may fulfill all the rules as spelled out by Mr. Goetz. But we will explain why we think we do not - in the case we find a discrepancy in rules we will look at this and the Floorball development.

mr. Goetz third rule is called “favour the liberators” and if you want to know more, “stick around”  please.... we just love the phrase stick around at this place.

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"Thomas Goetz is Executive Editor of Wired Magazine, overseeing everything from story conception to cover packages. In addition to guiding editorial content, Goetz writes frequently for the magazine on health and technology."
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It is our understanding that beside of  this article, that we refer to here, Mr. Goetz, also have been presenting the subject "how to spot the future" to live audiences. In his article he defines 7 rules on "how to spot the future".
Since Floorballcentral is convinced that Floorball is what is next in sports we will take the rules - as they are defined by Mr. Goetz - and see how Floorball as a sport match up to these rules. We are fully aware that what Mr. Goetz write in his article mainly aim for "tech" development. This is not something we see as an obstacle. This is post 1 in a series of 7 that relates to the article by Mr. Goetz. http://www.wired.com/business/2012/04/ff_spotfuture/all/. Read it at the source and get the real feel for what is next.
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Caution

Research suggest that eye-injuries are more common in Floorball as compared to Tennis, but less common as compared to Squash (similar to Racquetball).
To minimize this risk of injury Floorballcentral recommend: Use certified protective eye-wear (mandated in many European areas for the youth). Do not lay down on the court. Follow the rules strict on stick height.

Also if you get addicted to this sport - do not blame us!